Trend Line Analysis : 11/08/2015

Introduction to Trend Line Analysis
Welcome to our newest feature; Trend Line Analysis. Our professional market technician showcases intraday / swing trade setups on a broad spectrum of FX currency pairs. The most effective way to use the setup are:
▪ If indicated price zone holds; consider partial profit taking between 20-40 pips before aiming for the maximum listed target.
▪ If the price zone fails to hold; we likely to see price moving against us. Fail means; the candle closing higher or lower to indicated price zone.

 

First day of trading after the NFP release saw major USD pairs staging rallies and breaking their NFP held highs.

USDCAD in particular was the front runner on the assault on the US Dollar with EUR and GBP following the lead respectively. USDJPY however failed to gain momentum and was hit hard on its crosses; particularly against the CAD and the GBP.

Technically we can see more fallout on the US Dollar and expect the majors to carry on to the march higher for now possibly providing better shorting opportunities in days to come.

EURJPY

We like to see a test to the top of the range on Daily and the 8 hrs coming roughly to 138.3X to enter shorts for a possible move towards 137.10 with potential run lower to mid 135.XX.

While most of the pairs rallied against the US Dollar strongly, breaking their respective NFP highs; USDJPY stalled within a tight range and it’s crosses took the brunt from all direction.

Euro seems bullish on the break above NFP’s high and next important  resistance is seen  to 1.109X handle. If Euro continues the march to the mention resistance; it is likely we see EURJPY making it to 138.3X zone to set shorts up.

If aggressive can use the 2 hrs layout with support to 136.8X to consider going long upon it’s test and a hold.

EURJPY - 8hr - Approachig possible range top to set shorts up

EURJPY – 8hr – Approaching possible range top to set shorts up

EURJPY - 8hr - Approachig possible range top to set shorts up - Close up
EURJPY – 8hr – Approaching possible range top to set shorts up – Close up
EURJPY - Daily - Ideantical to the 8 hrs view
EURJPY – Daily – Identical to the 8 hrs view
EURJPY - 30 mins - 136.8X test & hold; comes in as decent support to try longs
EURJPY – 30 mins – 136.8X test & hold; comes in as decent support to try longs

AUDUSD

We carry the same view from yesterday and looking at 746X as a possible range top and a decent resistance which if gets a test and a hold like to set shorts on it.

The only added  information from yesterday’s posting on the pair is the NAB Business Confidence release coming out in early ASIA and we can see some decent flows on the pair. With that in mind; we like to see a test and a hold to the interested zone to set shorts up on the pair.

Fresh chart is provided on the AUDUSD and the rest can be picked up from yesterday posting by following the link provided below.

http://www.littlefishfx.com/trend-line-analysis-09082015/

AUD 8 hrs - T2 & T3 forming dual resis; test and a hold to set shorts
AUD 8 hrs – T2 & T3 forming dual resistance; test and a hold to set shorts

USDCAD

The pair traded heavily on Monday and we believe there is more to be seen on the lower side preferably to around 2910 zone and like to initiate buys off here for it seems like a decent drop zone to end the correction.

USDCAD traded heavily today; with break under 3070 saw the pair making a fast run to 2991 test. Rising oil price was possibly one of the factor along with stops been triggered that explains the rally on the pair.

With nothing much on news for today; 307X is resistance and if aggressive can short from there with main target to 2910 zone. Alternatively this later level comes in as a decent spot which can signal an end to the correction and march back higher.

Hence; we like to try longs if price gets a test to 2905-10 for a possible move back to 307X with potential run higher for newer yearly highs.

USCAD 4 hrs - 2905-10 important support that can see correction ending to it
USCAD 4 hrs – 2905-10 important support that can see correction ending to it

Got any questions about our Trend Line Analysis? Contact us editor@littlefishfx.com

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